nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NY-26 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Tim Kennedy (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.7%Safe D+2.4 pts in 30 days
Kennedy (D) 97.7%Hannon (R) 2.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.2% · Kalshi 98.4% · 1.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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