nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OH-09 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Marcy Kaptur (D) to win

TruthIndex™
72.0%Lean D−1.5 pts in 30 days
Kaptur (D) 72.0%Merrin (R) 28.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 71.5% · Kalshi 72.0% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io