OH-15 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Mike Carey (R) to win
TruthIndex™
74.4%Lean R−2.4 pts in 30 days
Carey (R) 74.4%Leonard (D) 25.9%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 73.5% · Kalshi 74.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET