nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OK-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Mark Tedford (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.9%Safe R+3.7 pts in 30 days
Tedford (R) 96.9%Croisant (D) 2.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.4% · Kalshi 96.6% · 1.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io