nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OK-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Frank Lucas (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.2%Safe R−1.0 pts in 30 days
Lucas (R) 96.2%Byrd (D) 1.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.1% · Kalshi 97.8% · 1.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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