nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OK-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Tom Cole (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.8%Safe R+1.7 pts in 30 days
Cole (R) 95.8%Jacob (D) 3.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.8% · Kalshi 95.8% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io