nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OK-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Stephanie Bice (R) to win

TruthIndex™
88.1%Likely R−0.9 pts in 30 days
Bice (R) 88.1%Nelson (D) 12.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 88.0% · Kalshi 89.0% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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