nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OR-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Val Hoyle (D) to win

TruthIndex™
95.2%Safe D+0.5 pts in 30 days
Hoyle (D) 95.2%DeSpain (R) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 95.3% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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