nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
PA-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Brian Fitzpatrick (R) to win

TruthIndex™
63.6%Lean R+4.3 pts in 30 days
Fitzpatrick (R) 63.6%Harvie (D) 37.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 62.5% · Kalshi 64.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io