nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
PA-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Brendan Boyle (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.6%Safe D+0.8 pts in 30 days
Boyle (D) 96.6%Arriaga (R) 1.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.1% · Kalshi 98.1% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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