PA-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Madeleine Dean (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe D+1.8 pts in 30 days
Dean (D) 96.4%Stuski (R) 3.2%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.4% · Kalshi 96.2% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET