PA-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Mary Gay Scanlon (D) to win
TruthIndex™
98.3%Safe D+1.0 pts in 30 days
Scanlon (D) 98.3%Manganaro (R) 1.5%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 98.1% · Kalshi 98.6% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET