nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
PA-13 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

John Joyce (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.1%Safe R+0.2 pts in 30 days
Joyce (R) 97.1%Farnham (D) 3.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.3% · Kalshi 97.0% · 1.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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