nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
PA-15 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Glenn Thompson (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.0%Safe R+0.8 pts in 30 days
Thompson (R) 96.0%Bilger (D) 3.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.8% · Kalshi 96.2% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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