PA-16 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Mike Kelly (R) to win
TruthIndex™
95.7%Safe R+5.2 pts in 30 days
Kelly (R) 95.7%Wagner (D) 3.9%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.9% · Kalshi 94.9% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET