nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
RI-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Seth Magaziner (D) to win

TruthIndex™
92.2%Safe D−4.1 pts in 30 days
Magaziner (D) 92.2%Mellor (R) 6.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 92.2% · Kalshi 92.2% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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