nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
SC-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Joe Wilson (R) to win

TruthIndex™
87.7%Likely R−4.1 pts in 30 days
Wilson (R) 87.7%Khalifa (D) 11.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 87.5% · Kalshi 88.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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