nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
SC-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

William Timmons (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.8%Safe R+3.1 pts in 30 days
Timmons (R) 95.8%McClain (D) 4.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.5% · Kalshi 96.0% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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