nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
SD-AL HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Marty Jackley (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.1%Safe R+0.2 pts in 30 days
Jackley (R) 95.1%Gronli (D) 3.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 96.2% · 1.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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