nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TN-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Scott DesJarlais (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.0%Safe R+3.6 pts in 30 days
DesJarlais (R) 97.0%Broderick (D) 1.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.9% · Kalshi 97.2% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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