nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TN-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Charlie Hatcher (R) to win

TruthIndex™
94.4%Safe R+5.5 pts in 30 days
Hatcher (R) 94.4%Molder (D) 4.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 94.3% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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