TX-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Jake Ellzey (R) to win
TruthIndex™
95.0%Safe R+0.1 pts in 30 days
Ellzey (R) 95.0%Minton (D) 2.6%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.0% · Kalshi 95.5% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET