TX-09 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Alex Mealer (R) to win
TruthIndex™
83.8%Likely R−4.2 pts in 30 days
Mealer (R) 83.8%Gutierrez (D) 16.8%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 83.5% · Kalshi 84.0% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET