nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-11 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

August Pfluger (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.9%Safe R+3.3 pts in 30 days
Pfluger (R) 96.9%Reynolds (D) 1.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.4% · Kalshi 96.6% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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