TX-15 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Bobby Pulido (D) to win
TruthIndex™
82.6%Likely D+19.6 pts in 30 days
Pulido (D) 82.6%Cruz (R) 17.2%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 82.5% · Kalshi 83.0% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET