nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-16 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Veronica Escobar (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.8%Safe D+2.7 pts in 30 days
Escobar (D) 97.8%Bauman (R) 1.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.6% · Kalshi 98.0% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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