nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-22 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Trever Nehls (R) to win

TruthIndex™
94.6%Safe R+2.5 pts in 30 days
Nehls (R) 94.6%Greene-Scott (D) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 94.7% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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