nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-23 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Brandon Herrera (R) to win

TruthIndex™
69.7%Lean R+0.9 pts in 30 days
Herrera (R) 69.7%Stout (D) 31.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 69.5% · Kalshi 70.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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