nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-24 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Beth Van Duyne (R) to win

TruthIndex™
92.0%Safe R+2.4 pts in 30 days
Duyne (R) 92.0%Burge (D) 8.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 91.5% · Kalshi 93.1% · 1.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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