TX-30 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Frederick Haynes III (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.7%Safe D+1.3 pts in 30 days
III (D) 97.7%Jackson (R) 2.1%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.3% · Kalshi 98.6% · 1.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET