nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-31 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

John Carter (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.3%Safe R+2.6 pts in 30 days
Carter (R) 95.3%Early (D) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.0% · Kalshi 95.5% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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