nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-33 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Colin Allred (D) to win

TruthIndex™
95.7%Safe D−0.4 pts in 30 days
Allred (D) 95.7%Gillespie (R) 2.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.5% · Kalshi 97.3% · 1.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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