nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-34 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Vicente Gonzalez (D) to win

TruthIndex™
84.3%Likely D+8.8 pts in 30 days
Gonzalez (D) 84.3%Flores (R) 15.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 83.5% · Kalshi 84.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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