nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-35 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Johnny Garcia (D) to win

TruthIndex™
59.5%Toss-up+2.5 pts in 30 days
Garcia (D) 59.5%Cruz (R) 40.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 59.0% · Kalshi 60.5% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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