nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TX-37 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Greg Casar (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.8%Safe D+3.2 pts in 30 days
Casar (D) 97.8%Peña (R) 1.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.6% · Kalshi 98.0% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io