TX-38 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Jon Bonck (R) to win
TruthIndex™
96.6%Safe R+4.2 pts in 30 days
Bonck (R) 96.6%McDonough (D) 3.4%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.0% · Kalshi 96.4% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET