UT-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Ben McAdams (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.7%Safe D+2.2 pts in 30 days
McAdams (D) 96.7%Owen (R) 3.7%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.4% · Kalshi 97.0% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET