nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
UT-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Blake Moore (R) to win

TruthIndex™
94.6%Safe R+0.1 pts in 30 days
Moore (R) 94.6%Crosby (D) 4.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 95.0% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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