nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
VA-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Shannon Taylor (D) to win

TruthIndex™
56.1%Toss-up+16.1 pts in 30 days
Taylor (D) 56.1%Wittman (R) 44.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 58.0% · Kalshi 55.5% · 3.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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