nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
VA-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Bobby Scott (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe D−0.6 pts in 30 days
Scott (D) 96.4%Rivera (R) 2.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.2% · Kalshi 98.3% · 3.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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