nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
VA-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jennifer McClellan (D) to win

TruthIndex™
98.2%Safe D+2.1 pts in 30 days
McClellan (D) 98.2%Murray (R) 1.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.9% · Kalshi 98.8% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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