nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
VA-09 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Morgan Griffith (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.0%Safe R+1.2 pts in 30 days
Griffith (R) 97.0%Powers (D) 2.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.8% · Kalshi 97.7% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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