nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
VA-11 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

James Walkinshaw (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.2%Safe D+0.2 pts in 30 days
Walkinshaw (D) 97.2%Purves (R) 1.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.2% · Kalshi 97.3% · 0.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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