nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
WA-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) to win

TruthIndex™
90.5%Safe D+1.1 pts in 30 days
Perez (D) 90.5%Braun (R) 9.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 89.5% · Kalshi 90.8% · 1.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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