nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
WA-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Amanda McKinney (R) to win

TruthIndex™
92.6%Safe R+0.0 pts in 30 days
McKinney (R) 92.6%Duresky (D) 6.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 92.5% · Kalshi 92.8% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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