nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
WA-09 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Adam Smith (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.8%Safe D+0.4 pts in 30 days
Smith (D) 96.8%Basler (R) 2.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.6% · Kalshi 97.1% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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