nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
WI-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Gwen Moore (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.2%Safe D+1.0 pts in 30 days
Moore (D) 97.2%Rogers (R) 2.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.4% · Kalshi 99.3% · 2.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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