nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
WI-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Glenn Grothman (R) to win

TruthIndex™
92.6%Safe R−1.7 pts in 30 days
Grothman (R) 92.6%Smith (D) 6.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 92.5% · Kalshi 92.7% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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