nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
WI-08 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Tony Wied (R) to win

TruthIndex™
88.7%Likely R−1.0 pts in 30 days
Wied (R) 88.7%Crosson (D) 10.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 90.0% · Kalshi 88.5% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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