HENDERSON MAYOR · 3 NOV 2026
Michelle Romero to win
TruthIndex™
82.5%−9.0 pts in 30 days
Romero 82.5%Chadwick 17.4%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 82.5%Oct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET